Verification

Strategy-by-Strategy Performance

Eleven independent engines. Each with a defined role, a measurable edge, and a reason it exists in the portfolio. Every number comes from our research database — 49 strategies tested, 11 survivors. These are the real backtested figures.

Data document 49 strategies tested, QC-verified Updated June 2026
Strategies Tested
49
Full backtests
Survivors
11
In production
Kill Rate
78%
38 strategies killed
Data Range
15yr
2010 – 2025
Portfolio Composite

The whole is greater than its parts

Launch Portfolio Sharpe
2.36
6 core engines, regime-weighted
In-House Portfolio Sharpe
4.69
All 11 engines active

Why weak legs make the portfolio stronger

A strategy with a Sharpe ratio of 0.50 sounds unimpressive on its own. But portfolio math does not work the way intuition suggests. When a Sharpe 0.50 strategy has zero correlation to the rest of the portfolio, adding it improves the overall Sharpe ratio. This is not opinion. It is arithmetic.

The formula is simple: portfolio Sharpe improves any time you add a positive-Sharpe strategy whose correlation to the existing portfolio is below a specific threshold. For uncorrelated strategies, that threshold is effectively 1.0 — meaning any positive-Sharpe, uncorrelated strategy always helps.

This is why our Shield leg (Sharpe 0.50) and Echo leg (Sharpe 0.52) exist. Their standalone numbers are modest. Their portfolio contribution is real and measurable.

Core Engines

Six engines that anchor the portfolio

Core Engine #1 Live
Sentinel
Rotates capital between equities, bonds, and gold based on VIX regime signals. The foundational allocation engine that determines where capital sits at any given moment. Formerly: Sentinel Strategy.
1.31
Sharpe
CAGR
22.5%
Max Drawdown
-16.5%
Beta
0.63
Period
2010 – 2025
OOS Sharpe
0.90
Walk-Forward Ratio
0.69
Verdict
PASS
Trades
SPY / TLT / GLD
Core Engine #2 Live
Harvest
Concentrated mega-cap equity positions with VIX-based regime timing. Steps entirely to gold during periods of uncertainty. The highest-Sharpe core engine. Formerly: Harvest.
2.00
Sharpe
CAGR
59.0%
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Total Orders
6,179
Win Rate
55%
OOS Sharpe
2.35
Walk-Forward Ratio
1.26
Beta
0.62
Sortino
2.43
Caveat: The 59% CAGR reflects concentrated mega-cap positions during the strongest tech bull run in history (11yr backtest). Forward expectation is 25-30% as mega-cap concentration normalizes. PSR: 99.98%.
Core Engine #3 Live
Meridian
Machine learning-optimized allocation between equities and gold. Adapts to changing market conditions. The most consistent performer across environments. Formerly: Meridian.
1.28
Sharpe
CAGR
26.2%
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Beta
0.73
Period
2010 – 2025
OOS Sharpe
1.53
Walk-Forward Ratio
1.20
Verdict
PASS
Trades
Equities / Gold
Core Engine #4 Live
Navigator
Sector rotation driven by macroeconomic regime classification. Near-zero market beta. Walk-forward validated across three independent periods, including a true holdout test. Formerly: Navigator.
0.98
Sharpe
CAGR
14.5%
Total Orders
6,539
Walk-Forward
P1: 0.61 / P2: 1.36 / P3: 1.06
Beta
0.06 – 0.21
Core Engine #5 Deploying
Carry
Captures funding rate premiums through hedged BTC positions. Delta-neutral by construction. Active only during bull regimes; the system goes flat when conditions shift. Formerly: BTC Funding Carry.
1.03
Sharpe
CAGR
51.0%
Max Drawdown
-48.0%
Beta
0.00
Active
Bull regime only
Filtered strategy: only active during bull regime. Goes completely flat during bear conditions. CAGR reflects bull-period performance only. Zero equity beta by design.
Core Engine #6 Deploying
Shield
Crisis hedge, not a return engine. The value of CTA is its negative beta to equities: when the portfolio's equity-linked engines face drawdowns, Shield tends to gain. This is the insurance leg.
0.50
Sharpe
CAGR
10.0%
Role
Crisis hedge
Beta
-0.52 to equities
Active
All regimes
Sharpe 0.50 is modest. Shield exists for its -0.52 beta to equities, not its standalone returns. In a crisis, this leg pays for itself many times over.
Factory Engines

Five algorithmically discovered strategies

These five engines were discovered by our automated research pipeline, which scans thousands of configurations across markets, timeframes, and signal types. Each passed walk-forward validation and contributes low correlation to the core engines.

Factory #1 Live
Vector
Algorithmic trend detection in technology equities. Factory-generated from pattern scans across 4,784 equities. Zero correlation to the core engines. Formerly: Vector.
0.88
Sharpe
CAGR
27.9%
Max Drawdown
-34.4%
Beta
0.98
Correlation
~0 to core
Factory #2 Live
Crosswind
Cross-sector momentum across commodity ETFs. Factory-generated. Captures commodity supercycle moves and mean reversion within sectors. Formerly: Crosswind.
0.64
Sharpe
CAGR
15.3%
Watches
Commodity sector momentum
Trades
Commodity ETFs
Correlation
~0 to core
Factory #3 Deploying
Echo
Captures post-earnings announcement drift. When a company reports earnings that surprise the market, the stock tends to continue drifting in the direction of the surprise. Academic edge, modest but persistent.
0.52
Sharpe
CAGR
4.2%
Watches
Earnings surprises
Total Orders
408
Role
Uncorrelated alpha
Sharpe 0.52 and 4.2% CAGR are modest numbers. Echo exists because its correlation to every other engine is near zero. See the portfolio math section above.
Factory #4 Deploying
Spring
Dynamic mean reversion in equities. Buys oversold conditions, sells overbought. Factory-generated with adaptive thresholds that respond to volatility regime.
0.68
Sharpe
Watches
Price deviation from moving averages
Trades
US equities
Adapts To
Volatility regime
Correlation
~0 to core
Signal Filter Overlay
Lens
Not a standalone strategy. Scores 500+ companies per quarter by analyzing CEO earnings call language for signals of adaptation, conviction, and creative thinking. Used as a filter to sharpen the equity engines.
Filter
Role
IC
0.115
t-Statistic
7.08
Coverage
500+ companies / quarter
Correlation
-0.03 to core

Not every engine is a star. Some are workhorses. Some are hedges. Some are filters. The portfolio does not need every part to be exceptional. It needs every part to be honest, independent, and doing its job.

See all 49 strategies — The Full Scoreboard →

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